The runoff in the Turkish Republic’s centenary year comes after some of the most hotly contested presidential and parliamentary elections in recent times.
The results will have myriad ramifications outside Turkey, which despite being a NATO member has maintained close ties with Russia and blocked Sweden’s membership of the Western military alliance. Turkey boasts NATO’s second largest armed forces after the United States, it controls the crucial Bosporus Strait, and is widely believed to host American nuclear missiles on its soil.
It remains to be seen what the results mean regionally, too, as Turkey’s influence grows among its neighbors and the Muslim world as a whole.
Voter turnout in Turkey is traditionally strong, despite the government suppressing freedom of expression and assembly over the years and especially since a 2016 coup attempt.
Erdoğan’s AK Party won just short of 50% of the votes in simultaneous parliamentary elections, preliminary results showed, adding to the sense that he is well placed in the presidential runoff.
Sinan Oğan, a third candidate who was eliminated after getting around 5% in the first round, could prove a potential kingmaker and has the backing of an anti-immigrant nationalist party.
For around 5 million new voters who have never known any other leader, the election was the chance for change in a country where Erdoğan’s AK Party has been in power since 2002. Erdoğan became prime minister the next year and president in 2014.
More than 64 million people, including 3.4 million overseas voters, were eligible to vote, and turnout, in a country where it is traditionally strong, was high.
Ahead of the election, the mood was buoyant in Istanbul with the opposition and its supporters hopeful of victory.
“We hope this time something might change in our country. Because now I think people are more conscious,” Zafer Özi, 81, a retired pharmacist, told NBC News:
Turkey is still reeling from the fallout from two massive earthquakes in February, which caused devastation in 11 southern provinces and killed tens of thousands of people. Erdoğan’s administration has been criticized for its response to the disaster, as well as the lax implementation of building codes that worsened the misery.
A languishing economy, which critics have accused the government of mishandling, and a steep cost-of-living crisis also dominated the agenda, along with a backlash against millions of Syrian refugees, in the lead-up to the vote.
Erdoğan increased wages and pensions and subsidized electricity and gas bills in a bid to woo voters while leading a divisive campaign in which he accused the opposition of being “drunkards” who colluded with “terrorists.” He also attacked opponents for upholding LGBTQ rights, which he said were a threat to traditional family values.
Kılıçdaroğlu, 74, who has led the secular, center-left Republican People’s Party, or CHP, since 2010, vowed to reverse Erdoğan’s policies and restore democracy.
A starkly different figure from Erdoğan, who is known for his bombastic speeches, he is soft-spoken and has built a reputation as a bridge builder. During the campaign he recorded videos in his kitchen in a bid to talk to voters.
His six-party Nation Alliance has promised to dismantle the executive presidential system narrowly voted in by a 2017 referendum.
Erdoğan has since centralized power in a 1,000-room palace on the edge of Ankara, and it is from there that Turkey’s policies on economic, security, domestic and international affairs have been formulated.
Neyran Elden reported from Istanbul, and Henry Austin and Alexander Smith from London.
Associated Press and Dennis Romero contributed.
